Development of imitation model of the created value on chain of Markov for foresight methodology
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Published:
Mar 21, 2020
Keywords:
foresight methodology, life cycle, imitation model, Markov chain, value
Main Article Content
Abstract
The study is based on the hypothesis that the life cycle of project benefits can be reflected by Markov chains. The states of Markov chains are understood as the characteristic stages of the life cycle of a project's benefits. The results obtained do not contradict the accepted hypothesis. It has been shown that the transformation of the life cycle of project benefits into a Markov chain is an effective way to phenomenologically reflect a project structure based on the project benefits cycle. It has been proven that the use of Markov chains is acceptable to reflect the life cycle of project benefits. The results of the study can serve as a basis for creating models of Forsyth projects.
Article Details
How to Cite
Chernova, L. S., Lukianov, D., Gogunskii, V., & Chernova, L. (2020). Development of imitation model of the created value on chain of Markov for foresight methodology. Herald of the Odessa National Maritime University, (60), 171-189. https://doi.org/10.33082/2226-1893-2019-3-171-189
Section
Project and program management
References
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2. Drozd, J., Drozd, A. Models, methods and means as resources for sol-ving challenges in co-design and testing of computer systems and their components // International Conference on Digital Tech-nologies. 2013. С. 176-180. DOI: 10.1109/DT.2013.6566307.
3. Durand, G., Belacel, N., La Plante, F. Graph theory based model for learning path recommendation. Information Sciences. 2013, № 251. С. 10-21. DOI: 10.1016/j.ins.2013.04.017.
4. Qureshi, S.M., Kang, C. Analysing the organizational factors of project complexity using structural equation modelling. Interna-tional Journal of Project Management. 2015, № 33 (1).С. 165-176. DOI: 10. 1016/ j.ijproman.2014.04.006.
5. Managing Successful Programmes (MSP®) 4th Edition. 2011. 301 с. URL: https://www.itgovernance.co.uk/shop/product/ managing-successful-programmes-2011-edition
6. Lukianov, D., Bespanskaya-Paulenka, K., Gogunskii, V., Kolesnikov, O., Moskaliuk, A., Dmitrenko, K.. Development of the markov model of a project as a system of role communications in a team. Eastern–European Journal of Enterprise Technologies. 2017, 3/3 (87). С. 21-28. DOI: 10.15587/1729-4061.2017. 103231.
7. Carboni Joel B. Standard for Sustainable Development in Project Management GPM P5™ GPM Global. Version 2.0. 2019.
8. Demin, D. Perfection of approaches to the construction of the training process of athletes, considered in the framework of the implementation of the processes of non-formal education // Journal «ScienceRise: Pedagogical Education». 2017, №9(17). С. 28-46. DOI: 10.15587/ 2519-4984.2017.111110.
9. Verkhivker, G., Kravchenko, V. The use of chemical recuperation of heat in a power plant // Energy. 2004, № 29(3). С. 379-388. DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2003.10.010.
10. Developing a system for the initiation of projects using a Markov chain / Viktor Gogunskii, Аndrew Bochkovskii, Andrii Moskaliuk, Olexii Kolesnikov, Serhii Babiuk // Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies. 2017. № 1/3 (85). С. 25-32. DOI: 10.15587/ 1729-4061.2017.90971.
11. «Lifelong learning» is a new paradigm of personnel training in enterprises / V. Gogunskii, A. Kolesnіkov, K. Kolesnіkova, D. Lukianov // Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technolo-gies. 2016. № 4/2 (82). С. 4-10. DOI: 10.15587/1729-4061.2016.74905.
12. Development of the model of interaction among the project, team of project and project environment in project system / O. Kolesnіkov, V. Gogunskii, K. Kolesnikova, D. Lukianov, T. Olekh // Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies. 2016. № 5/9(83). С. 20-26.
13. Representation of project systems using the markov chain / V. Gogunskii, O. Kolesnikov, G. Oborska, A. Moskaliuk, K. Kolesnikova, S. Harelik, D. Lukianov // Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies 2017. № 2/3 (86). С.60-65.
14. Chernov, S. Constructing the system of decision-making support while creating the strategy of the high-technology enterprise development [Text] / S. Chernov, L. Chernova // Computer Sci-ences and Information Technologies (CSIT), IEEE 2017. P. 7-10.
15. Bourne, L. Stakeholder Relationship Management: A Maturity Model for Organisational Implementation [Text] / Lynda Bourne. Gower Publishing Limited. Farnham, UK. 2009. 215 p.
16. Chernova, L. Peculiarities of the methodologies for managing projects and proqrammes to ensure the innovation process [Text] / L. Chernova // The scientific periodical «Systems of control, navi-gation and communication» Vol.5 (51). Poltava, 2018. P.121-127.
17. Carboni, J., Young, M., Milsom, P.& Gonzalez, M. The GPM® Global P5TM Standard for Sustainability in Project Management. Ver. 1.5. GPM Global. 2016. 43 с. URL: https://www.greenpro-jectmanage-ment.org/the-p5-standard
18. Rehacek, I.P. Application and usage of the standards for project management and their comparison // Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences. 2017, № 12 (4). С. 994-1002. DOI: 10.3923/ jeasci. 2017.994.1002.
19. Biloshchytskyi A., Myronov O., Reznik R., Kuchansky A., Andrashko Yu., Paliy S., Biloshchytska S. A method to evaluate the sci-entific activity quality of HEIs based on a scientometric subjects presentation model // Eastern–European Journal of Enterprise Technologies. 2017, № 6/2 (90). С. 16-22. DOI: 10.15587/1729-4061.2017.118377.